Avalanche Volatility & Regime AVAX/USDT
Avalanche (AVAX) volatility regime analysis classifies current market conditions as compression, expansion, or normal for AVAX/USDT perpetual futures. Regime transitions — especially compression-to-expansion — produce the most tradeable opportunities.
Live Signal Status
Live AVAX/USDT perpetual futures data. Day trading mode. Refreshes every 5s.
Avalanche Volatility Regime
Avalanche is currently in a normal volatility regime with realized vol at 30.9% (percentile: 100). Normal volatility conditions suggest standard market behavior without extreme compression or expansion signals.
Volatility metrics
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Realized Vol | 30.9% | Extremely high — potential exhaustion |
| Vol Percentile | 100th | Current vol is higher than 100% of historical readings |
| Regime | NORMAL | Standard conditions |
| Vol-of-Vol | 43.8% | Unstable — regime change likely |
| Z-Score | -1.18 | Normal range |
| ATR(14) | $0.08 | Average true range — expected per-candle movement |
| Vol Trend | STABLE | Stable volatility |
Regime Transition Probability
Avalanche's volatility category reads neutral (+1). Current regime is stable with no immediate transition signals.
Signal Category Alignment
| Category | State | Score | Label |
|---|---|---|---|
| momentum | bearish | -36 | Bearish |
| liquidity | bearish | -78 | Strong Bearish |
| positioning | bullish | +59 | Strong Bullish |
| smartMoney | mixed | +8 | Neutral |
| volatility | neutral | +1 | Neutral |
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by a quantitative system processing market data in real time. It is not financial advice. Trading Avalanche perpetual futures involves substantial risk of loss. Past signal performance does not guarantee future results.
Related Signals
Related Education
Other Avalanche Modules
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the AVAX volatility regime?
Blackperp classifies Avalanche volatility into three regimes: compression (below-average vol, range-bound price), normal (average vol), and expansion (above-average vol, trending price). Regime transitions — especially compression-to-expansion — often produce the most tradeable moves.
What is vol-of-vol for AVAX?
Vol-of-vol measures the volatility of Avalanche's volatility itself — how much the volatility reading is changing. High vol-of-vol signals unstable market conditions where regime changes are likely. Low vol-of-vol suggests a stable regime that may persist.
How does Blackperp's volatility percentile work for AVAX?
The volatility percentile ranks current Avalanche realized volatility against its historical distribution. A percentile of 90 means current vol is higher than 90% of historical readings. Extreme low percentiles (below 10) often precede major expansion moves.
What is the AVAX z-score for volatility?
The z-score measures how many standard deviations Avalanche's current volatility is from its mean. Scores above +2 indicate extremely high vol (potential exhaustion); below -2 indicate extremely low vol (potential breakout incoming). Blackperp uses this for regime transition detection.
Does AVAX have implied volatility data?
Avalanche does not have a liquid options market, so implied volatility is not available. Blackperp uses realized volatility, ATR, and vol-of-vol to assess the volatility regime for AVAX.